|
As recently as last month, in a private
meeting with friends, the King said he now
questions Prince Ranariddh's viability as
his successor. He said he would have
preferred that the prince leave politics for
a few years, to make himself more attractive
for the throne.
While
the Funcinpec party has not been
particularly successful or influential in
recent years, Prince Ranariddh has been an
active politician. If the Cambodia people
were choosing the next King, the Prince's
political ties might matter more. many
people on the street identify Prince
Ranariddh with a corrupt government system
and they blame him, along with Prime
Minister Hun Sen, for the country's
instability.
"Ranariddh
doesn't fit," say a Western political
observer. "He's been a modern
politician who has make enemies, who has
political debts that have to be paid and
political favors that have been dispensed.
People would still see him as a politician.
He wouldn't get the same respect. It would
weaken the institution."
Of
course, the King doesn't choose his
successor, and neither do the people. if the
process remains as it is today. Hun Sen's
CPP will make the selection.
The
question, then, is whether Hun Sen gains
more by leaving Ranariddh in politics or
putting him on the throne.
"Hun
Sen would like to see Ranariddh there
because under the Constitution, Ranariddh
cannot get his finger too much in the
political pie," says a former adviser
to Prince Ranariddh. "He'd be more than
happy to have happy to have Ranariddh in a
place where he can keep an eye on him,
although he wouldn't like having to
prostrate himself every time he saw him. But
everyone in Cambodia makes
compromises."
Prince
Ranariddh, 55, a former university professor
in France, only came into politics in 1983
when his father asked him to reorganize his
resistance army and the Funcinpec party.
Though
Prince Ranariddh and Hun Sen once served
together as prime ministers, the two have
been more enemies than colleagues. Tension
between them exploded into fighting in July
1997 and Ranariddh fled the country. A years
later he was convicted in absentia of
illegally importing weapons and colluding
with the Khmer Rouge to overthrow the
government, though he was later granted
amnesty.
In
the past year the prince has been les
out-spoken in his opposition to Hun Sen's
gornment. But based on his past comments, he
may not be what Hun Sen is looking for in a
king.
Asked
about his father's reign during a 1997
interview with The Cambodia Daily, Prince
Ranariddh said: "I simply and
respectfully believe the King should do what
the Constitution of this country allows him
to do." But, in his next sentence,
Prince Ranariddh summed up King Sihanouk's
problems-and, presumably, his own were he to
succeed his father.
"[The
King's] position is quite difficult, between
the Constitution on one hand, and we have to
deal with a man like Hun Sen on the other
hand," he said.
It
would be difficult for Prince Ranariddh not
to interfere in daily politics, says a
Cambodian political analyst with ties to the
three main parties. "But Prince
Ranariddh is very intelligent. He knows
where the power is. If surviving means
shutting up, he will shut up."
And
despite their disagreements during the
1990s, the analyst says, Hun Sen could be
happy with Prince Ranariddh in the Royal
Palace. "Hun Sen knows him very well,
how to negotiate with him, where the weak
points are," the analyst says.
"With anyone else you have to start
form scratch. With Ranariddh, you know what
he's like. |